Who will win presidential run-off? Latest poll for "Fakty" TVN and TVN24

Kantar pollster has carried out a survey for "Fakty" TVN and TVN24 regarding the second round of presidential election. It was conducted on Sunday, June 28, after 9pm, that is already after Ipsos published the exit poll. The poll was carried out on a representative sample of 1513 adults via phone and internet.

45.4 percent of respondents declared they would vote for the incumbent president Andrzej Duda.

44.7 percent would vote for Rafał Trzaskowski.

9.9 percent picked the answer "don't know/hard to say/haven't decided yet".

Incumbent Andrzej Duda won the most votes in the first round of the Polish presidential election on Sunday (June 28), an exit poll showed, setting the stage for a tight run-off vote that may shape Poland's relations with the European Union for years to come.

The re-election of government ally Duda, who would now face liberal Warsaw mayor Rafał Trzaskowski in a run-off, is crucial if ruling nationalists Law and Justice (PiS) are to implement their conservative agenda, including reforms the EU says undermine the independence of the judiciary.

The president has the right to veto laws and Trzaskowski, the candidate of the largest opposition party, the centrist Civic Platform (PO), has vowed to stop reforms which he says erode democracy.

"I want to thank everyone for voting," Duda told supporters after the exit poll was released.

Final voting results from the first round are expected later in the week.

Duda got 41.8% of the votes, the exit poll showed, while Trzaskowski came second with 30.4%. With none of the 11 candidates scoring more than 50% in the first round, the run-off between the two frontrunners will take place on July 12.

Duda had long been seen as the clear favourite to win the election, but some recent polls have shown Trzaskowski winning in the second round.