According to a poll conducted by Opinia24 for "Fakty" TVN and TVN24, Rafał Trzaskowski would secure 41% of the vote in the first round of the presidential election, while Karol Nawrocki would receive 26%. Sławomir Mentzen placed third. In a potential second-round face-off, 52% of respondents would vote for Trzaskowski, the current Mayor of Warsaw, compared to 41% for Nawrocki, the head of the Institute of National Remembrance (IPN).