According to the latest Kantar poll for "Fakty" TVN and TVN24, the ruling United Right coalition would win the upcoming parliamentary election with 29% of votes. 27% declared their support for Civic Coalition, and 13% would choose Poland 2050. In total, five parties would win seats in the Sejm.
The highest number of respondents - 29% - said they would vote for United Right (Law and Justice, United Poland, Republicans). This is 2 percentage points less than in the Kantar poll carried out using the same methodology on June 22-23.
Civic Coalition (Civic Platform, Modern, Polish Initiative, Greens) would take the second-best result of 27% (1 pp more than in June), whereas Szymon Hołownia's Poland 2050 would win 13% of votes (3 pp more).
Two more parties would pass the minimum threshold needed to win seats in the lower house: the far-right Confederation Liberty and Independence (Korwin, National Movement, Braun) with 8% of votes (2 pp more), and the Left coalition (Democratic Left Alliance, Spring, Razem) - with 7% (1 pp less).
According to the survey, the remaining parties would not pass the minimum threshold of 5%. Polish Coalition-Polish People's Party would win 2% (no change compared to June's poll).
AgroUnia would also secure 2% of votes (no change), whereas 1% would pick Kukiz'15 (on change).
Jarosław Gowin's Accord scored 0% - just like in June.
11 percent chose the option "don't know/hard to say/haven't decided yet/refused to answer". This is 3 pp less than in June.
The telephone poll by Kantar Public was carried out on August 17-18, 2022, on a nationwide, representative sample of 1,003 adult residents of Poland.
Źródło: TVN24 News in English, TVN24